Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Environmental Impact Assessments: Part 2

Trevor Herriot's Grass Notes

Last week I used this space to draw attention to the changes to environmental assessment that we are seeing in Saskatchewan. Things are worse on the federal level, where the big projects go for approval, the stuff that can really do a lot of damage: pipeline, mines, and offshore drilling.

Here is an article published in the Globe & Mail on March 31 this year. It appears that the Tories slipped these changes into parliament, as a way of getting around a Supreme court ruling. From the G & M article:

"The decision to rework environmental assessment requirements follows a Supreme Court ruling in January, where the top court decided that the federal government violated the law by conducting only a partial review of the Red Chris copper and gold mine, located in Northern British Columbia, and not an in-depth study of all the possible environmental impacts of the project.

Under the changes in the budget, Mr. Prentice [Environment minister] will have the ability to limit the scope of assessments at his discretion, legal changes that will allow him to sidestep the Supreme Court ruling, which had been sought by the Ecojustice group."

A month later, on April 21, The Green Budget Coalition--a gathering of Canadian environmental groups, including Bird Studies Canada, Canadian Environmental Law Association, Canadian Parks and Wilderness Society, Centre for Integral Economics, David Suzuki Foundation, Ducks Unlimited Canada, Ecojustice Canada, Environmental Defence, Équiterre, Friends of the Earth Canada, and many others--denounced the Harper government's efforts to weaken Canada's environmental protection laws. Here is a copy of their news release.

Let your MP know what you think of these changes. It is exactly this kind of pandering to industry that leads to both environmental catastrophe as we are seeing in the Gulf of Mexico and to the slow erosion of biodiversity in wild places.

The environmental assessment process is flawed to be sure, but to weaken it further will just make it that much easier for industry and commercial development to run roughshod over the last remnants of wildness we have in Canada.

The 500 Years of Resistance Comic Book

By Gord Hill
Foreword by Ward Churchill

About this book
The 500 Years of Resistance Comic Book is a powerful and historically accurate graphic portrayal of Indigenous resistance to the European colonization of the Americas, beginning with the Spanish invasion under Christopher Columbus and ending with the Six Nations land reclamation in Ontario in 2006. Gord Hill spent two years unearthing images and researching historical information to create The 500 Years of Resistance Comic Book, which presents the story of Aboriginal resistance in a far-reaching format.

Other events depicted include the 1680 Pueblo Revolt in New Mexico; the Inca insurgency in Peru from the 1500s to the 1780s; Pontiac and the 1763 Rebellion & Royal Proclamation; Geronimo and the 1860s Seminole Wars; Crazy Horse and the 1877 War on the Plains; the rise of the American Indian Movement in the 1960s; 1973’s Wounded Knee; the Mohawk Oka Crisis in Quebec in 1990; and the 1995 Aazhoodena/Stoney Point resistance.

With strong, plain language and evocative illustrations, The 500 Years of Resistance Comic Book documents the fighting spirit and ongoing resistance of Indigenous peoples through 500 years of genocide, massacres, torture, rape, displacement, and assimilation: a necessary antidote to the conventional history of the Americas.

The book includes an introduction by Ward Churchill, a writer, political activist, and co-director of the American Indian Movement of Colorado.
Buy book here.

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Consumer culture crisis looming

Murray Dobbin's Blog

If there was any doubt – there wasn’t – that Canadians were whistling past the debt graveyard unconcerned about their and their children’s futures, reports in the past two days put them to rest. Canada is now the worst of 20 developed nations of the OECD in terms of personal debt. Every man, woman and child now has a personal debt of $41,740. That represents 140 per cent of average annual income and is two and half times greater than it was just 20 years ago.

An earlier story revealed that right now, with interest rates where they are, over 375,000 Canadian mortgage holders are “challenged” by their monthly payments. When interest rates hit 5.25 per cent, an additional 500,000 home “owners” will be in that situation. In other words, almost a million Canadian families will be cutting back on expenditures on food, clothing, education, travel and health just to stay in their homes. Tens of thousands will fail and many thousands will face bankruptcy. (The Canadian government is on the hook for virtually all the defaults.)

All of this would be certifiably delusional even if the country was booming and salaries and wages were increasing. It is utter madness in the current context. Wages and salaries are going down, if there is any identifiable trend at all. In fact, between 1980 and 2005 the real increase (after inflation) in average income was exactly $51 per year. That’s not a typo. The total increase in real dollars was just $51 over a period of a whole generation.

That should have been a wake-up call that the great consumer game was up. What kept people asleep was the transfer of manufacturing jobs in the tens of millions from the US, Canada and EU to Asia where cheap labour and non-existent environmental regulation allowed for the production of absurdly cheap goods. Those cheap goods allowed us to remain blissfully unaware of the consequences of our capitalist society, driven by the manufactured desire for more and more stuff.

This is a crisis for which a solution is difficult to imagine. Individuals, for the most part, are simply not equipped to deal with a culture that has been around for three generations and whose dream machine is ever-more sophisticated. Combine that with an increasing disengagement of people as citizens – that is, as people who imagine their future as part of the commons – and you have a formula for social, economic and political disaster.

Optimists may have imagined that the current combination of inconvenient truths would cause people to pause and re-examine their habits. We are at or past peal oil – its price will inevitably shoot higher in the next five years and could reach $200 a barrel. Our natural resources are becoming more and more expensive as they are inexorably depleted and the cost of mining them (using carbon based energy) increases. Add to this global climate change and the stupendous debts of governments – on top of individual debt – and you have the conditions for a kind of social Armageddon.

But trying to imagine a social movement, or a combined, unified movement confronting all of these crises, is a severe test even for those who have spent their lives organizing for and analyzing social change. No one in living memory has faced this kind of need for change. Many have imagined and fought for change they wanted – a more equitable world, a more sustainable world, a peaceful world. But this is different. The potential for entering a new dark age is very real. And it would not be confined to a few countries. The crisis is global.

The consumer madness indicated by the astronomical personal debt levels suggests an almost willful denial of reality – spending like mad because somewhere, deep down, we know it’s all going to be over soon and we might as well enjoy it while we can.

Inuit see what’s happening to Arctic ice

By Tristan Pearce and James D. Ford
The Record

In the politically charged atmosphere that is climate change, new data — information that Arctic sea ice cover is nearly back to average after years of dramatic declines — has been paraded by climate skeptics as yet more evidence that climate change is a hoax.

While this would appear a happy story, it is just that: a story.

The National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Col., posted a monthly sea-ice update on its website March 31. The new graph showed that the extent of ice-covered Arctic Ocean had returned to the 1979-2000 average.

But before jumping to conclusions, when one reads the new data it becomes apparent that the graph reports on “sea-ice cover,” not thickness or quality of ice, just the area of Arctic Ocean that has a layer of ice covering it. The cause of this sudden increase in sea-ice cover was an unusual cold pattern in the Bering Sea, between Alaska and Russia, which spurred some ice growth. This is weather, not climate, and data from elsewhere in the Arctic reveals a much warmer story, a story that has been unfolding over the past decade.

Inuit in Ulukhaktomiut, in the Northwest Territories, a community of about 400 on the coast of Victoria Island in the Western Canadian Arctic, continue to experience dramatic changes in the Arctic Sea ice. For Ulukhaktomiut, and for other Inuit, the Arctic sea is a platform for hunting and travelling. In the past two decades, however, the Arctic Ocean is freezing over later and breaking-up earlier, the ice is thinner, and there is less of it. In recent years, including this winter, there has been ice-free open water and very thin, unstable, temporary ice cover that is vulnerable to wind and currents in areas where the ice used to be eight feet-thick. Like the unusual growth of sea ice in the Bering Sea last month, the ice that is forming in the Beaufort Sea, near Ulukhaktok, is extremely thin and is easily smashed and blown away during a strong wind.

Open water and unstable ice conditions impede Inuit from reaching hunting areas and make travel on the ice more treacherous. The Inuit witness changes in the sea ice on a daily basis and a conversation with an elder reveals to any visitor how dramatic the changes really are. It has become commonplace to look out over the ocean from the shores of Ulukhaktok during the coldest times of the year and see steam rising from the sea ice. The steam is a sign of open water, a sign that the ocean and air temperatures are too warm for sea ice to form and a sign that Inuit will have to adapt the way they hunt and travel to accommodate for these changes.

Despite the faint cries of climate skeptics, those whose lives and livelihoods depend on the Arctic ice are calling on the Canadian government and the international community to take action to address climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preventing further deforestation.

If you question whether climate change is real, travel to the Arctic and observe for yourself. Then you can report what is really happening to Arctic sea ice.

Tristan Pearce is a PhD Candidate and SSHRC Vanier Scholar in the Department of Geography at the University of Guelph. Tristan has been working with the community of Ulukhaktok for the past six years on climate change issues and is the author of several peer reviewed publications, book chapters and government reports. Dr. James D. Ford is an assistant professor in geography at McGill University. He is widely renowned for his work with Aboriginal communities on climate change vulnerability assessment and adaptation planning,

Photographs document early damage done by Gulf oil spill

Jay Bookman blog
Atlanta

See more here.












Monday, May 10, 2010

Gulf spill exploited to paint oil sands green

Danielle Droitsch
OilSandsWatch.org

Alberta Premier Ed Stelmach and Environment Minister Jim Prentice have crafted a new message, touting the oil sands as the safe alternative to offshore development in the wake of BP's oil spill. They're saying it loud and proud - that Alberta's oil sands are the responsibly developed, safe alternative to offshore development.

Prentice told reporters Friday: "I think it's always been clear that the oil sands provide a safe, stable, secure supply of energy and they need to be developed in an environmentally responsible way. The risks associated with the oil sands, the environmental risks, are significantly different than, and probably less than the kind of risks associated with offshore drilling."

There's just one problem - what Prentice and Stelmach are advertising isn't available here in Alberta - and we hope the public won't be fooled by their clever bait and switch. My colleague, Karen Campbell, addresses the risks associated with the transport of fuel from the oil sands in her most recent op-ed, now I'll address the impacts and risks associated with oil sands development. It's time we debunk the latest talking points from the oil sands PR machine.
Read this article here.

Greenwashing

The 2010 People’s Summit

The 2010 People’s Summit launches its program with a fun-filled fundraising evening!

As the G8 and G20 Summits approach, the People are preparing exciting, diverse, and democratic responses to the unjust system of the status quo. The 2010 People’s Summit, happening June 18th to 20th at Ryerson University and locations throughout the city, will kick off a week and a half of alternatives and resistance, with three days of workshops, panel discussions, skillshares, interactive arts events, film screenings and community spaces.

From 6-9:30PM on Monday May 10th, the People’s Summit will launch the Summit program with a fundraising dinner. Speeches from Sid Ryan of the Ontario Federation of Labour and Peggy Nash of the Canadian Autoworkers will engage the crowd with ideas on moving toward a more just and equitable world. Local musicians Traditional Native Flute Player Danny Beaton (Turtle Clan Mohawk), classical guitarist Maneli Jamal and folk singer Sara Marlowe will inspire and entertain. A seasonal, organic buffet dinner by acclaimed cook Sam Robertson will be enjoyed by all. Tickets are $25/person, available at the door, with all proceeds going to support the People’s Summit.

The 2010 People’s Summit will educate, empower and inspire positive change, bringing together people from all walks of life working for solidarity, self-determination, human rights, a people’s economy, justice, peace, a healthy planet, and transformative social change. It is the public and democratic alternative to the G20 Summit happening in Toronto on June 26th and 27th.

Highlights from the People’s Summit program include a Friday evening celebration at the Carlu, hosted by Mary Walsh, featuring inspiring speakers and great entertainment. Saturday and Sunday will offer a vast array of interactive and engaging sessions on issues such as climate change and the environment, human rights, gender justice, migrant justice, democracy, economic justice, and People’s alternatives to the current system. Summit organizers will share full details of the program on Monday evening, and registration begins later this week. The weekend of events is open to all.

The website of the People’s Summit is http://www.peoplessummit2010.ca/

After the People's Summit, The Toronto Community Mobilization Network is providing infrastructure and logistical support to events, protests and actions taking place between June 21 and 27, 2010 within a framework of respect and solidarity. Details of activities, outreach material and other information can be found at http://www.g20.torontomobilize.org/

For more information:
In Toronto: Marya Folinsbee, 647.702.7914, coordinator@peoplessummit2010.ca
In Ottawa: Dylan Penner, Council of Canadians, 613.795.8685.

Sunday, May 9, 2010

Green is for Go in Colombia

By W. John Green
Counterpunch

Mockus' Surprising Run

The amazing rise of Antanas Mockus and his Green Party in Colombia belies the stereotype, common even among Latin America specialists, of a country irredeemably plagued by violence and appropriately known for its “faux democracy.” Mockus and the Greens prove that Colombian democracy can be real enough, though admittedly conflicted. The sudden surge of Mockus is not completely surprising.

It is, rather, a new chapter in an old struggle between two powerful political currents in Colombia’s societal evolution, where controversial movements of popular mobilization and democratic optimism have repeatedly had to face presidential administrations, now embodied in the Álvaro Uribe administration, one that is no stranger to violence and intimidation. What is at stake is not just how Uribe will go down in history, but whether the harsh realities of the Uribe presidency will allow the White House to reverse itself and back the pending U.S.-Colombia Free Trade Agreement (which it seems to want to do) that President Obama opposed while he was a member of the Senate.
Read this article here.
Also see Columbia's Surging Greenwave

Climate change science and denial

By Bill Henderson
Energy Bulletin

A National Academy of Sciences expert panel will deliver a report on "Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations" this summer.

Arguably the single most important document to be published in 2010, you probably haven't even heard about it. Check Google News: Nothing. Nada. One mention I could find in Google proper: David Biello's very informative What is the Right Number to combat climate change?

Here is part of the NAS report author's statement of task:

The stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and the avoidance of serious or irreversible impacts on the earth’s climate system are a matter of critical concern in both scientific and policy arenas. Using the most current science available, this study will evaluate the implications of different atmospheric concentration target levels and explain the uncertainties inherent in the analyses to assist policy makers as they make decisions about stabilization target levels for atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations.

Should US emission reduction policy and practise have a target of 450 ppm? 550 ppm or more? Or should America show leadership on climate change, escape denial and greenwash, and declare climate change an emergency and try and get back under 350 ppm before the Arctic melts irrevocably?

The differing targets on this stabilization spectrum require vastly differing mitigation strategies - from business as usual through incrementally building a low carbon economy to Draconian control to keep almost all fossil fuels in the ground.

Gosh, pretty important report you'd think?

This observer far out in the boonies expects that the NAS authors will be careful in Climategate times but will fill this report with science that can't be ignored. For example, I expect that the report will offer evidence that the present 3-5C rise of temperature in the Arctic is almost certainly more dangerous to the American people than the effects of a future 10F on American crops, water and forests.

But while I think our scientific community strives for evidence-based due diligence to future generations there is a dearth of media coverage because we really don't want to wake up to our climate culpability and the need for real change. Denial isn't just the deniers and Fox News: it's all of us. Climate change mitigation will almost certainly be 'inconvenient' and in these troubling times denial is not wanting to know the hell we're creating for our descendents by living like we think we need to live today.

bill@pacificfringe.net

Debating Population

Articles and Arguments on Population, Immigration and Climate Change


More free books here.

Saturday, May 8, 2010

Greece: Left prospects

By Michalis Spourdalakis

Michalis Spourdalakis teaches political science at the University of Athens, Greece. This article first appeared in the October-December, 2008, edition of Relay, magazine of the Socialist Project (Canada), and has been posted at Links International Journal of Socialist Renewal with permission. It was written before the latest youth uprising throughout Greece, followed by the election of the current PASOK government and the Greek crisis.

In the last few years, the political alignments in the European Union (EU) countries have changed drastically. In the 1990s, social-democratic parties and centre-left political forces were dominant. Under the banners of “progressive governance” or “modernisation” these parties ruled numerous countries and dominated the political scene on the continent.

Today, it is no secret that after long years in government, these political forces, what some like to call the “governmental left” are, to say the least, in retreat. It is indeed no secret that social democracy is in deep crisis: the recent congress of the French Socialists proved that this party is going through a period of self-questioning over the issue of its leadership, but also that it had nothing new to offer or, as a conservative daily commented, it appears as if “it does not think any more”.

In Germany the situation is even worse as the social-democratic party, the SPD, is displaying an unprecedented obsession over the personalities of its leadership. In the UK, George Brown and his Labour Party resemble more and more John Major’s Conservatives just before their devastating defeat in 1997. In Italy, after its defeat by the right-wing Forza Italia of Silvio Berlusconi, the Democratic Party has turned into a real Babel, which has completely paralysed its capacity to oppose the government’s often reactionary policies.

This trend, with the possible exemption of Spain under the prime ministership of Jose Zapatero of the Socialist Party, is clear and the conclusion rather obvious. The “third way” of the “governmental left” has led to a turn to the right. The rejection of the so-called European Constitution in the French and the Dutch referendums in 2005, and even the recent Irish rejection of the latest version of the new neoliberal EU Constitutional Treaty (Lisbon Treaty), did not slow down the deepening of social-democratic crisis. In fact, the gap created by the decay of the reformist left has brought to the fore the need to resist right-wing policies and hegemony. This has energised once dormant attempts to mobilise the radical left and has generated initiatives towards the mobilisation of those political forces on the left that do not subscribe to the conformism of “new social democracy”. Die Linke in Germany and the Bloco de Esquerda (Left Bloc) in Portugal seem to be the most prominent and successful examples of the rising new left forces on the European scene.

Situation in Greece
The situation in Greece is no exception to this pattern. In fact, as recent developments have shown, the “Greek case” could provide a good example for the direction of the left and leftists where the local social democratic, centre-left, or labour parties are incapable of resisting right wing aggression and have definitely abandoned any intention of or even promise for the structural transformation of the society.

Indeed, PASOK (the Pan-Hellenic Socialist Movement) dominated the Greek political scene for 11 consecutive years, most of it under the banner of aggressive “modernisation”. It was then followed by two consecutive victories of the right-wing New Democracy (ND) party. But today, with its modest but hopeful performance in last year’s election (5%), the radical independent left, under the name the Coalition of Radical Left -- SYRIZA, is expected to at least double its electoral support in the next election. The sudden explosion of the influence of the left in Greece becomes even a greater surprise when one considers that the Communist Party of Greece (KKE) commands 8 per cent of the popular vote. What has happened? Under what conditions is the radical left in Greece about to make a major breakthrough? Before we look at these questions, let us briefly turn to the developments of the Greek left after the fall of the Junta (1974).

Charting the Greek left
1974 was the turning point not only for the Greek left but also for the overall politics of the country. After some three decades of a restricted democratic regime and a seven-year dictatorship, a genuine transition to democracy was inaugurated. This gave the left, in both its social-democratic and communist form, a chance to develop freely. Thus, on the one hand, Greece had the creation of the Pan-hellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK) and, on the other, the legalisation of the parties of communist origin and orientation.

PASOK’s “socialism”, a mixture of populist radicalism and Keynesian reformism, was far from a class-based politics, without at the same time excluding those who subscribed to the latter. In the context of the post-dictatorship radical environment, PASOK, thanks also to its charismatic leader Andreas Papandreou, gave the impression that it was not only further to the left than its European counterparts but even more radical than the country’s communists. In the 1980s, PASOK came to power and were nothing more than a typical example of mainstream social democracy at the time. This reformism was enough, however, to co-opt a large segment of the traditional left’s social base. After a short interlude away from government, PASOK regained power in 1993, but the new PASOK –- especially after 1996, under the leadership of K. Simitis, a firm proponent of modernisation –- bore no resemblance to its radical foundation. The new PASOK, which dominated the country’s politics until its defeat in 2004, was very close to the politics of Tony Blair’s New Labour and in tune with the new governmentalist European social democracy.

On the other side of the left spectrum, the KKE, even after the collapse of the regimes of Soviet-inspired communism, is a typical party of the Third International tradition. It is the heir to the ``glorious party'' that led the resistance during the Second World War and was defeated during the civil war that followed. During the Junta years it underwent a major crisis and split into the KKE and the KKE-Interior (1968). The former dominated communist politics and the latter developed as a Eurocommunist party. In 1988, the two parties of the communist left and a number of other independent socialists formed Synaspismos (the Coalition of the Left and Progress -– SYN). Three years later the KKE left SYN, which in effect led to another split of the KKE since almost half of is central committee and thousands of its members remained in SYN. The KKE maintains a strong stand against the EU and its discourse is often simplistic and anthropomorphic. To the KKE, all other parties, including SYN, are the same since they all promote capitalism and reproduce the system, which provides it with the excuse to rule out any possibility for co-operation and legitimises its segregationist strategy, even in the trade union movement. At the same time, as the problems of the economy and in the Balkans mounted, the KKE’s anti-imperialist stand often gets sidetracked into populist xenophobia and nationalism.

SYRIZA
In 2000, at the height of PASOK’s modernising project, a number of small leftist extra-parliamentary organisations, groups and networks as well as a number of independent activists formed the Coalition of Radical Left -- SYRIZA. The coalition was an initiative of SYN, which was struggling to meet the threshold of 3 per cent required to enter the parliament. As could have been expected, SYN became the backbone of SYRIZA. In 2004, a former member of KKE and a European MEP (member of the European Parliament) for many years, Alekos Alavanos, took over the leadership of SYN and crafted a strategy to strengthen SYRIZA. SYRIZA would have to become the unifying agency of the entire left –- a presence so strong that it would no longer feel squeezed between the PASOK’s conformist governmentalism and KKE dogmatism. Support for this project had to come from the labour and social movements that the new leadership actively tried to strengthen by forming ties with them. The strategy was founded on the principle of “empowering the powerless”. It evolved through giving increased opportunities for positions to the party’s young members, something rather unusual for the communist origin left.

The much criticised choice of Alexis Tsipras, then a 32-year-old engineer, to stand as the party’s candidate for mayor in Athens in the fall of 2006 municipal elections is a very good example of SYN’s new spirit. The success of this initiative (Tsipras won an unprecedented 10.5 per cent of the popular vote) strengthened and stabilised the party’s new strategy. However, the real political impact of this strategy was demonstrated during the 2006-7 mobilisation of students against the constitutional amendment that would allow the establishment of universities by the private sector. SYN was pivotal in changing public opinion to such an extent that PASOK was forced to change its position on the issue, a development that annulled the Government’s efforts on the issue.

More importantly, SYN’s strategy on this and other issues seems to be breaking away from instrumentalism vis-à-vis the power structure, as was traditionally denoted by the strategy and the tactics of the left. This was an instrumentalism that revealed a formalistic perception of political power expressed either when the left-wing movements and parties are completely preoccupied with their presence in public office; or when they separate their mobilisation initiatives from the societal base through the functioning of the state institutions. By mid-2007, it was becoming clear that SYN, along with its front organisation SYRIZA, was much more confident about the outcome of the upcoming elections.

The result of the 2007 September election was not a surprise. SYRIZA won 5 per cent of the popular vote and 14 seats in the 300-seat parliament, and the KKE an impressive 8.1 per cent and 22 seats. PASOK experienced its second consecutive defeat by a further loss of 2.5 percentage points and started to display signs of fatigue and a political inability to mobilise effectively. The slim parliamentary majority (by only two seats) of New Democracy and the entrance of an ultra-right party into the parliament, in combination with the leadership crisis of PASOK, elevated SYRIZA to the prime opposition force to the government. In February 2008, SYN held its fifth congress, where Tsipras was elected as party leader. He thus replaced Alavanos, who remains however the leader of the SYRIZA. Since the election, SYRIZA has displayed a steady increase in its popularity. In fact for more than half a year, all the public opinion polls show that the party has more than doubled its popular support.

Conditions ripe for hope on the left
Clearly the developments noted above cannot be taken as proof of a turn of Greek society to the left. This is not simply due to the pessimism of left intellectuals. It is because the turning of a society to the left is a rather complicated process that cannot simply be detected through conjunctural electoral gains. It has more to do with the change in the balance of social powers and radical changes in the society’s values to such an extent that realistically result in the building of counter hegemonic structures.

However, although it is obvious that the dynamic of SYRIZA on the Greek political scene does not prove we are witnessing a general turn of the society leftwards, at the same time it is more than clear that the Greek left has drawn upon certain important social developments that characterise advanced capitalist societies. These developments have created a conducive environment for the Greek radical left to make a major breakthrough and to reshape the balance of power in the country. This will be so as long as its leadership and its political organisations continue to see these as new openings, and insist on capitalising on them in a creative fashion as they have done in the last couple of years.

This is not the place to elaborate extensively on the overall developments that have facilitated the prospects of the Greek left wing making advances a realistic and even short-term goal. However it is worth highlighting three wider European developments.

First, the impact of various applications of the strategy of neoliberalism for the restructuring capitalism in the last three decades has radically shaken the long lasting belief that the young generations could realistically hope to have a better and more prosperous life than their parents. The years of security and of improved real incomes seems to belong to the past. Even Eurobureaucrats and the political elites openly admit that the maximum the EU countries can hope for is to introduce policies in order to manage the social issues in a way that there are not going to result in major social shake-ups. The debate on “flexicurity” across Europe is a good case in point.

Second, the frequent alternation in power between right-wing, conservative or Christian-democratic and reformist social-democratic parties in power in the European countries has generated a political cynicism that has forced large numbers of citizens to seek their political representation elsewhere. The mobilisations around the European Social Forum and other campaigns and movements, which were not so much part of the political tradition of Europe as they were part of the tradition in North America, are good examples.

Third, the combination of the above two developments, along with the liberating effect of the collapse of the “actually existing socialism” and the end of the “Cold War” has widened the audience for the radical left.

In addition to this situation, which seems to be more or less common to most EU countries, the Greek case displays several additional traits that have had a positive impact on the left’s recent positive dynamic.

Opposition to `reforms'
First, for the last five years, the right-wing government has introduced a number of what it calls “reforms” that have generated tremendous social reactions. These “reforms” are justified as necessary in order to deal with PASOK’s governmental errors. But they have resulted in policies whose origin and philosophy can in fact easily be attributed to the PASOK modernisers. This strategy is part of the government’s tactics of “blaming everything on PASOK”. Along with PASOK’s internal rivalries over its leadership, the parliamentary scene gives wide space for SYRIZA’s intention to express social discontent -– it is a realistic and viable project. Indeed, SYRIZA was the only political force to challenge the government’s incomes policies and bring to the fore the issue of what it calls the “700 Euro generation” (the ``G700'' generation of young Greeks between ages 25 and 35 who make 700 euro a month and are overworked, underpaid, debt ridden and insecure) to play a key role to hamper the government plans to privatise universities and to mobilise against the reforms in country’s pension plans system. On all these issues, SYRIZA’s political action was innovative. It adopted a fresh discourse which, although remaining within its overall strategy for the unity of country’s left, managed to demarcate itself from PASOK without at the same time sliding into the alienating simplistic logic of KKE that wants to equate PASOK with the ND.

Second, although part of PASOK’s defeat can be attributed to widespread phenomena of corruption during its terms in government, it did not take long for the ND government to elevate corruption and the mismanagement of public funds to a real art. This phenomenon further contributed to an extensive disenchantment with the two government parties of the country or with what it called “system of bipartism”. As this disenchantment has also been expressed in anti-party, anti-collectivist and apolitical attitudes, SYRIZA’s effective opposition strategy has managed at least to stop this trend from spreading.

Third, EU policies have, in the last few years, become more and more reactionary. The great alliance in the early 1990s formed around the axis between the French socialists and the German Christian democracy, which managed to somehow to protect the EU from Thatcherism, has long collapsed. Instead the phenomena of complete submission of the EU’s policies to finance capital and the market are far too frequent. The latest decision of the Council of Ministers to extend maximum working hours to 60-65 per week, the complete deregulation/privatisation of the energy sector, the increase in interest rates, which contributes to the phenomena of recession and the recent policies on immigration that intend to “fortify” the EU against the invasion of immigrants -– all highlight the political direction of the EU.

SYRIZA once again has been the only political force in the country that can legitimately challenge these policies. As PASOK and ND offer their unconditional support to the EU initiatives and KKE has always been a dogmatic Eurosceptic, SYRIZA, with its pro-EU background can now convincingly challenge these policies and promote a well-grounded vision of a socialist EU along with the parties that participate in the Party of the European Left.

Finally, another very positive factor contributing to the advancement of the radical left is the fact that neither PASOK nor ND and even less so KKE have renewed their political personnel. This phenomenon has contributed to the anti-political and anti-party sentiment of the population. At the same time the fresh and young leadership -– both in style and in age -– of SYRIZA creates an obvious comparative advantage. This point may sound rather superficial, however, in the age of electronic media, such phenomena cannot be considered insignificant.

Challenges ahead
The above presentation of all the positive elements in the socio-political environment of the Greek radical left, may have led the reader to picture the future in rather rosy hues. One should not rush to conclusions. There are still a number of serious dangers and challenges in the future prospects and the dynamics of SYRIZA and the Greek left in general.

The major dangers for the building of a new Greek left derive from an over-anticipation of the rapid success of its strategy. This may lead its often young and/or inexperienced leadership, and even its membership, to strengthen its understanding of politics as a public relations project. It would not be so difficult for something like this to happen under the present conditions of “media-driven politics”. This, in turn, may shrink its ambitious strategy to focusing on success at the polls. Winning elections is part of the project but an obsession with elections can lead to a paralysing and short-sighted electoralism.

Furthermore, the international and domestic social and political dynamics have generated so many pressing contradictions that they have made SYRIZA’s opposition and mobilisation efforts an easy affair. This ease may result in the creation of an anti-neoliberal but not anti-capitalist political party. Such a development could lead to the absurdity of a “left-wing party without socialism”. Signs of the latter can already be seen in Die Linke in Germany and they may spread to its Greek counterpart, given their close collaboration within the Party of the European Left.
In addition to these dangers, the Greek left is faced with a number of other important challenges. Key among them is how to transform its political, electoral advances into social gains. How, in other words, can it convincingly demonstrate that the problems faced today are structural by-products of the system and not simply side-effects that can be treated through some kind of reforms? To put it crudely: how can it prove that reformism is probably the most illusionary idea of our times?

All these dangers and challenges can be confronted if SYRIZA manages to put forward a comprehensive plan for party building that can capitalise on the experience both of its origin and of the new social movements. It needs to be an organisation that would respect our society’s social division of labour between parties and other movements and capitalise on the new technology of political mobilisation. This social project, in addition to everything else, is about an organisation, a political party. For, it is our organised collectivity that is not only the cornerstone of our current struggles, but also a small-scale model of the society of tomorrow about which we dream.